BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 115 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 129.03
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 120.22 34 31 1B 34 ( 6- 6) Central Arkansas -8.81 3.07 11.81
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 113.48 28 24 1A 133 ( 3- 9) Tulsa -15.55 -3.75 19.55
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 148.40 18 28 1A 27 ( 8- 5) Michigan 19.37 -17.12 -29.37
4 09/21/2024 Away L * 114.20 7 52 1A 22 (11- 3) Iowa St -14.83 -18.53 -30.17
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 140.90 18 16 1A 79 ( 7- 6) South Alabama 11.87 -1.55 -9.87
6 10/12/2024 Away L * * 115.83 9 41 1A 61 ( 8- 5) Texas St-San Marcos -13.20 -13.64 -18.80
7 10/19/2024 Away W * * 133.71 44 28 1A 131 ( 1-11) Southern Miss 4.68 5.77 11.32
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 133.03 34 31 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Troy 4.00 -0.89 -1.00
9 11/09/2024 Away L * * 106.56 19 55 1A 74 (10- 4) Louisiana-Lafayette -22.47 -17.85 -13.53
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 139.54 27 20 1A 114 ( 3- 9) Georgia St 10.50 -9.45 -3.50
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 135.55 28 21 1A 107 ( 5- 7) Louisiana-Monroe 6.52 -3.80 0.48
12 11/30/2024 Home L * * 130.66 32 40 1A 72 ( 5- 7) Old Dominion 1.63 -10.37 -9.63
13 12/26/2024 Neutral W * 145.31 38 31 1A 76 ( 7- 6) Bowling Green 16.28 -13.09 -9.28
Averages 129.03 25.8 32.2
Best game: 148.40 = 10 point loss to Michigan
Worst game: 106.56 = 36 point loss to Louisiana-Lafayette
Team stdev: 13.52